# conditional thesis

> Living preprint · as of 2026-10-25 · map node G-conditional-thesis (concept) · interim record, not a final result.

**conditional thesis**

Plain: The author's closing claim, in the form the tests support: the app is right about two times in three when the right passage reaches the model.

Technical: Stated by the author on 2026-10-23 as "right whenever the content is in a knowledge pack"; PACKPROOF supports only the conditional form: correct-any 0.65 when the item's own article is kept vs 0.28 when not, with the pack installed 0.48 vs 0.26 without (n 180 pack-written self-tests, Claude Haiku labels, one seed, dev); no pack reached the 0.75 bar.

## Incoming

- uses: [D-215] Thesis restated: small models need external knowledge; a harness built around a small model's real capabilities, tuned for the app user (the conditional numbers are its evidence and limits) → https://r4topunk.github.io/boar-research/map/d-215.md

Read chapter 14, Closing the research: what a small model needs: https://r4topunk.github.io/boar-research/research/closure.md

## Facts cited {#facts}

Resolve every [F-…] marker in https://r4topunk.github.io/boar-research/data/facts.json. Each line gives the claim, the number with its metric family, set and status, judge, n, seeds, CI, date and caveat.

<!-- lint:exempt:start -->
- [F-1690] Thesis to present with the app: right whenever the content is in a pack; app built for it. PACKPROOF supports only a conditional form (65 % when delivered) · set UNKNOWN (status UNKNOWN) · judge UNKNOWN · n UNKNOWN · seeds UNKNOWN · CI not computed · date 2026-10-23 · caveat: who: author; why: product framing; reversible: yes (framing) · later: 2026-10-25: the author restated the thesis (small models need external knowledge; a harness built around a small model's real capabilities); this sentence stays quoted as the hypothesis the closing tests checked.
- [F-1704] PACKPROOF pooled correct-any with pack installed vs without. 0.48 vs 0.26, Δ +0.23 (outcome-label share) · set 180 pack self-tests (written from the packs), dev (dev (pack-written self-tests), development data) · judge Claude Haiku 5.5-low labels; correct-any · n 180 · seeds 42 · CI CI +0.16..+0.31; n 180; seed 42 · date 2026-10-23 · caveat: self-tests favour the pack; hosts differ by arm; 1 seed Metric: outcome-label shares of n items (Claude Haiku 5.5-low labels, UXMATRIX protocol); not the judge.v1 ratio.
- [F-1707] Packs reaching the 0.75 "proves" bar. 0 of 9; 7 below 0.60 (not default-eligible by rule); best 0.60 (two Q&A packs), worst factbook 0.25 · set 180 pack self-tests (written from the packs), dev (development data) · judge Claude Haiku · n 20 · seeds UNKNOWN · CI n 20 per pack · date 2026-10-23 · caveat: health packs AI-reviewed, not clinically reviewed AI-reviewed, not clinically reviewed.

<!-- lint:exempt:end -->
---

Cite as: r4to, independent researcher. RatLab — A Boar Research (2026), research record 1.0, as of 2026-10-25. Text and data CC BY 4.0. Fact ids or a link must travel with a quote. How to cite: https://r4topunk.github.io/boar-research/cite/ · https://r4topunk.github.io/boar-research/CITATION.cff.

AI-reviewed, not clinically reviewed. Nothing here is medical advice.